Over the first four weeks of the general election campaign, Sunak has so far personally made his way around 37 constituencies across the UK. With less than two weeks to go until the national poll, the Prime Minister has only ventured out of England on three occasions, and made just four trips to non-Conservative held seats. It suggests that he is is running a rather defensive campaign amid complaints that he has ‘abandoned’ the red wall. So where has Sunak gone so far?

Though he has visited every region in the UK, the PM has preferred to stay in the South of England, making six visits to the South East and and eight to the South West. Of the Conservative-held seats which the PM has visited, the average has majority of just over 17,000. The safest seats in which he has appeared include Northamptonshire South, which Andrea Leadsom won in 2019 with majority of 25,022 and the new seat of Grantham and Bourne, contested this time by Gareth Davies – who won the old constituency with a majority of 22,393. Business Minister Kevin Hollinrake is defending Thirsk and Malton which he won by 24,457 votes in 2019 while Sunak himself is contesting the redrawn Richmond and Northallerton seat, which has a majority of more than 23,000. These are four of five Tory-held seats visited by the PM that are projected by Electoral Calculus to be held by Sunak’s party. The other is Melksham and Devizes which is being contested by Science Secretary Michelle Donelan, who won here last time with a majority of 15,000.

The Tory leader has only ventured to four areas not held by his party. Two Labour constituencies have seen the PM come by – Blyth and Ashington and Cambridge with majorities of 5,764 and 8,331 respectively – and these are predicted to stay red under Sir Keir Starmer. Rishi popped over to Northern Ireland to tour Belfast East, though the Tories will not be contesting this seat. And the PM has only campaigned in Scotland once, in Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross which Liberal Democrat Jamie Stone is expected to win.

While the polls continue to predict a Conservative wipeout across the country, reports have emerged over the last few days that Sunak’s team has begun to change tack, moving resources out of constituencies held by the Tory party which are now deemed no longer winnable. Mr S will be intrigued to see whether the constituencies which the PM have visited will deliver better results for the Tories come 4 July – or worse…

Visits by region:

Scotland (1): Caithness, Sutherland & Easter Ross

Wales (1): Vale of Glamorgan

Northern Ireland (1): Belfast East

North East (3): Bishop Auckland, Blyth & Ashington, Redcar

North West (2): Bury North, Macclesfield

Yorkshire (3): Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes, Richmond & Northallerton, Thirsk & Malton

East Midlands (4): Erewash, Hinckley & Bosworth, Grantham & Bourne, Northamptonshire South

West Midlands (2): Cannock Chase, Stoke-on-Trent North

East of England (3): Cambridge, Suffolk Coastal, Harpenden & Berkhamsted

London (3): Cities of London & Westminster, Harrow East, Wimbledon

South East (6): Crawley, Milton Keynes Central, Chesham & Amersham, Didcot & Wantage, Horsham, Wokingham

South West (8): Cornwall South East, Devon Central, North Devon, Stroud, Swindon North, Honiton & Sidmouth, St Ives, Melksham & Devizes