CHINA is headed towards widespread civil unrest at the same time it ratchets up aggression towards Indo-Pacific neighbours, according to former US intelligence officer John Jordon.
The former US naval intelligence commander warned the communist controlled nation was on a trajectory to medium term internal unrest.
During a July 10 Sky News interview Mr Jordon, who is also a qualified economist, said there were many indicators pointing to wider internal strife.
TRAJECTORY
“Implosion is the likely trajectory that mainland China is on and history is replete with examples in support of that,” he told Sky News anchor Peter Stefonovik.
“That’s what happens to communist countries. Communism, central planning, state ownership, autocratic Marxist governments do not survive – they tend to implode.
“It wasn’t just the Soviet Union [in the 90s] it was all of eastern Europe as well.”
Mr Jordon said the necessary changes required by communist China to avoid civil unrest were equally dangerous to its survival as a regime.
“Unless China adopts market-oriented policies and embraces freedom – which is also very dangerous to communism – it seems that implosion is the likely medium-term fate of the regime,” he said.
He said there was currently a significant level of deception and confusion surrounding the state of China’s internal affairs.
STATUS
“Nobody knows what the true status of Coronavirus in China is. We know what the Chinese Communist Party says it is – we don’t know what it really is,” he told Stefonovik.
“We don’t really know the status of the Chinese economy. Remember the Soviet Union was telling us for years how wealthy and successful their rosy and robust GDP forecasts were … right until they went broke.
“So you don’t know. You can’t take any numbers out of China seriously.”
Mr Jordon said China also had a demographic problem.
DISPARITY
“They have a rapidly ageing population, a huge wealth & literacy disparity between coastal cities & inland China and a hugely wasteful military industrial complex, which saps resources,” he said.
“The fact that more people are becoming more hostile to the Chinese brand means you have south-east Asian countries with lower cost of production wanting to take up that slack and compete with China.
“So they’ve got a lot of structural problems, a lot of headwinds, basically.”
Mr Jordon’s comments come off the back of warnings from regional defence experts that China was edging towards wider conflict with Indo-Pacific nations including India and possibly Australia.PC
China is itching for a fight. Sooner or later they will have to be stopped, and until then they will continue to spread their borders. If unstopped they will sooner or later end up in Darwin.
Excuse me. Excuse me David! They’re already in Darwin. Some government brick sold them the naval port there!
The Chinese navy also strolls freely into Sydney Harbour unannounced … and we roll out our bloody water canons to welcome them.
Australians have been betrayed multiple times over by those greedy fools who are supposed to represent our best interests.
Why do some of these commentators believe the numbers that come out of China, are they stupid?
We’ve heard this kind of “predictions” for more than 30 years. These “experts” simply do not really understand China, which is totally different with Soviet Union.
Soviet Union collapsed after about 70 years, Communist China was established 71 years ago. Clock is going TIK TOK.