by PAUL COLLITS – I USED to engage often with the climate change debate.
I once even shared a stage with venerable climate warriors Ian Plimer, the late Bob Carter, and Alan Moran, then of the Institute of Public Affairs.
I was nearly run out of RMIT University by the climate activists who paraded there as “scholars” for daring to host Plimer and Anthony Watts of Watts Up With That fame at our western Victorian campus.
- The victory of the climate nut-jobs has been a deep shock.
- We are sleepwalking into poverty, based on a set on sublimely idiotic assertions.
- Their “case” amounts to endlessly repeated talking points chanted by apologists for renewable energy – nothing more.
And I used to try to take up the fight to the climate change industry.
Not so much these days.
WIN
I reached a premature and ultimately (disastrously) false conclusion, that facts in this debate would win out. I felt my work was done.
The climate alarmists’ arguments, to the extent that they could even be called “arguments”, were so threadbare that it hardly seemed worth the effort to refute them.
The “argument” consisted of a set of highly contested propositions that all had to be true for the “case” to be compelling for policy-makers.
Yet there is no logic trail from the first proposition to the last.
First, there is the assertion that the earth is warming. Second, we have been told that carbon dioxide caused the earth to warm. Then we had the idea that man contributed significantly to increased levels of carbon dioxide.
Next came the claim that this increase was dangerous, not benign. Then, we had the insane idea that public policy could do something about all of this.
Next, we had the idiot-level argument that we should do something about all of this.
And to cap it all off, we had to “fight” climate change with mitigation and not adaptation.
Each assertion was, and remains, highly contestable, to put it at its most polite. To be impolite, it is all absolute tosh.
As in the infamous Pell case, only one of the pillars had to be proven to be false for the whole edifice to collapse.
The earth has not been warming for ages. Recent rises have been natural. Often the recorded temperatures are rigged. Modelling is not evidence of anything (as Don Aitkin once said).
The earth has warmed far more in the past, before industrialisation. Man contributes very little CO2 in the greater scheme of things. A slight rise in global temperatures is a good thing.
Man has very little capacity for influencing temperatures (outside the urban heat island effect). Certainly, no individual country has. And if everything else were true, the correct strategy would still be adaptation.
These few counter-arguments are merely scratching the surface.
Highly respected scientists the world over – 97 per cent of climate scientists do not believe all the rubbish spouted by the alarmists – have fully debunked climate myths.
But, as we shall see, this has been to little effect when pitted against the policy-emoting that defines our age. There is no consensus. It is manufactured.
And even if there were a consensus, it would not be “science” as properly understood. The idea that man-made CO2 causes dangerous global warming has the status of mere hypothesis, just like any other scientific theory.
It must be thoroughly tested and, if disproven, even once, should be thrown into the dustbin of history.
The “case” amounts to endlessly repeated talking points chanted by apologists for renewable energy, nothing more and nothing less.
The alarmist “archipelago” is simply a motley collection of chancers and ideologues united by their desire to crush traditional, reliable energy.
TOOL
The climate alarmists have been able to create that very effective democratic tool called by the political scientists a “policy community”.
With benefits. In careers, spin-off companies, academic posts, promotions, a phalanx of public sector positions, banking middle management appointments, and the rest.
There is, indeed, good money in climate change. And endless conferences to attend in wonderful locations.
King Charles III – it’s still a leap to bring myself to say the title – had to be persuaded by his new Prime Minister not to attend COP 27.
The real surprise is that, unbelievably, there have been 26 previous COPs! Climate change is the gravy train’s gravy train.
We have in the idea of carbon dioxide-as-culprit a busted flush. A naked emperor An idea without a core. Yet an idea with endless cache.
Yet here we sit in 2022, with governments across the globe seemingly winning the public’s approval for “climate action now” and something now called “net-zero”. We seem to be sleepwalking back to the stone age.
How has this happened? The best guess is that rational argument no longer counts in the determination of public policies.
As we destroyed traditional marriage with a “love is love” meme, we now seem bent on destroying everything else with a “climate emergency” meme.
That rational argument no longer counts in public life is a profound conclusion, if correct, and profoundly distressing.
There is simply no human future without energy. Does anyone even notice this?
The victory of the climate nut-jobs has been a deep shock.
Charles Mackay in Extraordinary Popular Delusions and The Madness of Crowds suggested: “Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, one by one.”
But we can only come back, one by one, with rational thinking, access to unbiased evidence, real science, open debate, full information, the absence of censorship and scholarly and policy goodwill.
There seems to be precious little evidence that the way back is either clear or certain.
No petrol cars by 2030-something? Shivering winters without power? Stifling summers without air-con. The Australian economy decimated. Industries shutting down, or moving to China where, astonishingly, they still build coal-fired power stations by the hundred.
This is goon-show territory. And yet, we all concur. We are sleepwalking into poverty, based on a set on sublimely idiotic assertions without foundation.
Two phrases have crept into the public’s consciousness over the past decade, without any particular rational reason for their emergence.
They are “climate emergency” and “net-zero”.
QUEASY
As with the COVID scam, we have had supra-national organisations, invested corporate actors, queasy politicians, mission-creeped NGOs, media cheer squads, main-chance private equity companies and bemused voters who wouldn’t know a greenhouse gas from a windfarm.
It has been a combustible mix, with dire consequences for all of us.
Like climate lockdowns. Don’t believe me? Just wait. And it isn’t just China with the (social credit) enforcement tools.
Just look at what Trudeau did to the truckers and their supporters in “democratic” Canada when he decided to flex his muscles.
Lost in all of the climate noise has been “the science”, which suggests – with compelling and unrefuted evidence – little global warming, with largely benign consequences.
The noise of policy-by-emotion blocks out reasonable thinking and science as it is properly conceived.
The recent statement by the United Nations official Melissa Fleming that the UN “owned” the science of climate change might have been expected to be seen widely as jumping the shark.
But no, it is only the alt-media and climate dissidents who see these statements as portending dystopia and, therefore, as worthy of comment.
The UN’s Fleming is crystal clear in saying, as was NZ PM Jacinda Ardern – we have the right, indeed, the duty, to shut you up if you question the truth as we see it.
Censorship is simply assumed to be a right of the elites on a range of contemporary issues.
But just as effective as censorship is the well-worn strategy of easing certain key phrases – which are no more than contested opinions – into the popular discourse, only as “facts”.
It is a bit like labelling people with whom you disagree as “controversial” or “divisive”.
In the wake of the bizarre removal of Andrew Thorburn as the one-day old CEO of the Essendon AFL club, because he is a Christian, we see this tactic in play.
Having “divisive” views on abortion now disqualifies you from running a footy club. Hence the endlessly repeated use of terms like “homophobic” as well as portrayals like “divisive” that keeps the debates on particular tracks.
Nobody is fact-checking these people, and calling them out for using opinionated, biased terms as if we all agreed they were true.
And so it is with climate change. Just think “denier” to get the picture very quickly.
BRIGADE
It is all about narrative construction and maintenance, and the climate brigade are best-in-show at this task. Their use of the BS toolset has been phenomenal, and sustained over time against all comers.
It can be seen, then, that despite the lack of a factual base for the headline claims of the alarmists, they have deployed many weapons, and deployed them very effectively, if deviously.
On the other side, alas, the much-needed strategy of getting real scientific thinking about global warming into public policy debate is yet to be devised.
This is the core task for those of us that still want industry, cars, warm homes and jobs in 2040.
A mass campaign is needed.
Those who see the climate scam for what it is have been pathetically silent and inert.
Absent some urgency, we will wake up one day not too far from now to a dystopia of stone age, pre-industrial age life where all that we have gained will be lost. We will own nothing, and we will be happy!
I realise that climate sceptics and fellow travellers do not generally wear protest t-shirts nor display posters. That, of course, is precisely the problem.
As Nigel Farage and others say, holding the present ground is no longer good enough, and even that we do not do well.
Our own (supposed) side has been infiltrated by fifth columnists like Matt Kean, and these are allowed to run over the top of supposed conservatives like Dominic Perrottet, and just about every other Liberal still standing. This also disarms the dissidents. Massively.
ENEMY
It is fighting with one hand tied, when your own side has joined the enemy.
My earlier conclusion some years back that simply repeating over and over the facts on climate change and pointing out the idiocy of the climate delusion was all that was required to win.
That attitude was and is costly, indeed, disastrously, false optimism.
Vacating the field was plain dumb. The fight on this one will never end, and the world is, indeed, run by those who turn up.
Just like Greta Thunberg. And Bill Gates. And all of the CEOs of private equity companies like Black Rock and Vanguard. They play for keeps.
We play tiddlywinks. And claim shock when we wake up to find that the world we once knew and cherished no longer exists.
The climate war is now the one that matters most.PC
Great essay; and the malaise you describe: of believing facts, politely and reasonably expressed will win the day is still an affliction on the conservative side of politics. Most conservative leaders still believe there are rules and a common meeting ground for reasonable discourse with the left and its incantations such as alarmism. Of course there isn’t, the left is only concerned with power – whatever it takes- and will as we are currently seeing in the US potentially destroy the world, to stay in power.
The ‘war’ started some time ago. I too was fighting in the usual way -writing, talking, organising meetings, even a political party, The Climate Sceptics- thinking reason will win the day!
The left was initially taken off guard and took some time to counter: not with facts or reason but with the usual tactics of the left: emotion, intimidation, cancelling and the other tactics of wokedom. They are winning because the conservatives have not caught up: we’re not glueing ourselves to roads or burning or assaulting. Still there will be some comfort; as the lights go out we won’t be the only ones shivering in the dark.
After studying climate science and reading hundreds of papers on the subject, I decided to take the battle against the unscientific nonsense to friends directly and through social media some time ago. Multiple arguments were made with climate cultists, with me being told I don’t understand basic science, despite my thesis in thermodynamics, having built a solar car for the world solar challenge and a high efficiency vehicle for the shell mileage marathon. I pointed out that these cultists ONLY understood basic science, fed to them by the media. The level of scientific literacy has become so low as school students are extensively trained in propaganda and woke ideology, but not scientific or critical thinking.
Consider these events;
* 1975 – Whitlam Labor signed the UN Lima Protocol agreeing to the gradual transfer of manufacturing industry to developing nations, China and India for example.
* 1990 (around that time) Keating Labor signed UN Agenda 21 – Sustainability covering many areas of our lives, early starters conversion of state lands and forests into UN registered National Parks banning prospecting and mining of our minerals and energy reserves, no new dams, Marine National Parks banning commercial fishing resulting in imported seafoods, no sustainable logging for the timber industry, etc.
* 1997 Kyoto Agreement on lowering “greenhouse gas emissions” and related damage to businesses.
* 2015 Paris Agreement on lowering CO2 emissions and more problems for businesses.
The inevitability of gradualness, UN interference into the sovereignty of nations that POTUS Trump told the UN was unacceptable, and that they must revert to the original charter and downsize from the octopus arms of organisations added that attempt to control what elected governments of nations can and cannot do.
Climate and warming creatively accounted modelling is a front for propaganda purposes by the political arm, climate is natural Earth Cycles, climate hoax is a con.
So New Zealand socialist youth movement Prime Minister Jacinta Ardern addressed the United Nations recently and complained that the internet is providing people with what she apparently believes is unacceptable alternative climate information, and she wants it stopped. It reminds me of the book burning periods in history.
Apparently the UN confirmed that arrangements are already in place for search engines to direct people to UN approved websites. Google and get a menu of UN propaganda?
I understand the PM Ardern is a WEF graduate too.